Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.266438 0.292438 0.318964 0.347999 0.378834 0.410551 0.445591
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.241729 0.279186 0.318710 0.363347 0.412183 0.463819 0.522371
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.218101 0.263653 0.313167 0.370613 0.435050 0.504737 0.585433
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.202078 0.254497 0.312999 0.382472 0.462070 0.549788 0.653122
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.184627 0.241929 0.307511 0.387115 0.480115 0.584361 0.709061
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.168650 0.229606 0.301066 0.389594 0.494888 0.614749 0.760100
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.153296 0.216724 0.292842 0.389002 0.505321 0.639638 0.804579
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.141930 0.207828 0.288636 0.392541 0.520134 0.669339 0.854578
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.134913 0.203845 0.289999 0.402499 0.542441 0.707848 0.915102
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.125006 0.195336 0.285033 0.404063 0.554118 0.733430 0.960214
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.118058 0.190240 0.284004 0.410230 0.571243 0.765497 1.013175
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.113664 0.188274 0.286780 0.421072 0.594131 0.804641 1.074907
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.105294 0.180460 0.281703 0.421846 0.604667 0.829233 1.119900
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.098305 0.174138 0.278250 0.424456 0.617375 0.856494 1.168322
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.090608 0.166248 0.272210 0.423257 0.624915 0.877176 1.208639
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.086278 0.163075 0.272488 0.430391 0.643231 0.911470 1.266079
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.080492 0.157273 0.268723 0.431750 0.653786 0.935862 1.311194
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.074876 0.151339 0.264440 0.432120 0.662839 0.958251 1.353820
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.069021 0.144601 0.258627 0.430046 0.668389 0.975999 1.390540
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.064945 0.140488 0.256463 0.432937 0.680534 1.002271 1.438215
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.062992 0.139799 0.259359 0.443022 0.702523 1.041510 1.502753
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.059007 0.135347 0.256295 0.444333 0.712363 1.064796 1.546828
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.056479 0.133265 0.256757 0.450694 0.729167 1.097324 1.603021